Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.562178 4.108926 4.707931 5.412405 6.217778 7.109316 8.170666
2025-02-02 2.989241 3.752805 4.658254 5.809191 7.231365 8.929239 11.108401
2025-02-09 2.472307 3.343394 4.450385 5.955987 7.945865 10.480986 13.951126
2025-02-16 2.064618 2.985047 4.229580 6.027540 8.549978 11.953322 16.883263
2025-02-23 1.690255 2.598231 3.897533 5.880636 8.817465 12.990356 19.350589
2025-03-02 1.371362 2.231030 3.527261 5.608183 8.846323 13.669590 21.369026
2025-03-09 1.190351 2.039270 3.381614 5.637479 9.308279 15.012875 24.504566
2025-03-16 1.010351 1.817741 3.153065 5.495979 9.471721 15.900203 27.017964
2025-03-23 0.941921 1.771174 3.199247 5.803773 10.392472 18.079275 31.838537
2025-03-30 0.863174 1.693033 3.178275 5.988542 11.118915 20.005194 36.435679
2025-04-06 0.771287 1.575885 3.070527 6.000627 11.535708 21.435050 40.315127
2025-04-13 0.654846 1.393472 2.817208 5.708031 11.356330 21.781931 42.281011
2025-04-20 0.611997 1.354130 2.836194 5.948178 12.227422 24.170637 48.342903
2025-04-27 0.590184 1.355205 2.935144 6.359686 13.482599 27.418538 56.400947
2025-05-04 0.544312 1.297447 2.906234 6.506170 14.224829 29.758085 62.949013
2025-05-11 0.497069 1.229068 2.845241 6.576024 14.815567 31.857777 69.242525
2025-05-18 0.437628 1.122825 2.686806 6.411690 14.885732 32.899530 73.464888
2025-05-25 0.377014 1.003566 2.481731 6.113025 14.620011 33.199236 76.132245
2025-06-01 0.345196 0.950531 2.422664 6.143362 15.096801 35.139456 82.556829
2025-06-08 0.306248 0.872763 2.293483 5.988805 15.124931 36.090376 86.876918
2025-06-15 0.297718 0.874414 2.360104 6.322571 16.352933 39.872940 98.029655
2025-06-22 0.282716 0.855939 2.373162 6.522887 17.278298 43.048862 108.090143
2025-06-29 0.260323 0.812956 2.316576 6.535826 17.736952 45.169440 115.857238